Most of the country is having sunny intervals except for south western which is experiencing light thundershowers.
Isolated thundershowers over to some areas of the country in the coming three days.
| Region |
12AM–6AM
Early Morning
|
6AM–12PM
Late Morning
|
12PM–6PM
Afternoon
|
6PM–12AM
Late Evening
|
Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northeastern | 20° | 27° | 31° | 23° | 25° |
| 2 | Southern Rwenzori | 22° | 26° | 28° | 22° | 25° |
| 3 | West Nile | 20° | 26° | 29° | 23° | 25° |
| 4 | Central Northern | 20° | 26° | 29° | 22° | 24° |
| 5 | Eastern Kyoga | 19° | 27° | 29° | 22° | 24° |
| 1 | Kigezi Highlands | 16° | 21° | 23° | 19° | 20° |
| 2 | Southwestern | 17° | 24° | 27° | 20° | 22° |
| 3 | Western Lake Victoria basin | 19° | 24° | 26° | 22° | 23° |
| 4 | Mt. Elgon highlands | 18° | 25° | 27° | 21° | 23° |
| 5 | Northern Rwenzori | 19° | 24° | 28° | 22° | 23° |
Isolated Light Showers Thundershowers Isolated Light Showers Showers Isolated thundershowers Isolated showers
Light Showers Light Showers Light Showers Isolated showersNo severe weather is expected. Safe conditions for fishing boats and small craft on Lake Victoria.
Moderate
South
Small
Moderate
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Light
South West
Small
Good
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Moderate
South West
Small
Moderate
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Light
South West
Small
Good
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Moderate
South
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers, moderate visibility is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Light
South
Small
Good
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers, moderate visibility is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Moderate
South East
Small
Moderate
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Light
South
Small
Good
Moderate to light winds and small waves are expected on Tuesday . Isolated thundershowers is expected Tuesday morning in many places.
Wear life jackets at all times on Lake Victoria. Avoid night travel. Check zone hazard status before departure. Emergencies: NECOC toll-free 0800177777.
Uganda experiences two major rainfall seasons, namely; March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November-December (SOND), as the first and second rainy seasons, respectively. However, Northern and parts of Eastern Uganda usually receive substantial rainfall during the June-July-August (JJA) season.
Overall, the MAM 2026 rainfall forecast indicates that most parts of the country are expected to receive near average rainfall. However, parts of Northwestern region, areas around Lake Victoria and parts of the Eastern region are expected to experience near-normal (near average), tending to above normal (above average) rainfall conditions during the forecast period. The MAM 2026 seasonal temperature forecast for MAM 2026 season indicates that temperatures will generally be warmer than normal across the country.
The major climate drivers expected to influence the March to May 2026 rainfall performance over Uganda include:
The positioning and orientation of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over Uganda, in conjunction with moisture advection from the Congo Air Mass are expected to play a significant role in modulating rainfall amounts and distribution during the MAM 2026 rainfall season.
The intra-seasonal variation of the tropical wind system known as Madden Julian Oscillations (MJO) is currently in a neutral phase and is projected to remain so over the next two weeks. It is therefore not expected to significantly influence the onset of MAM 2026 rainfall. However, its potential impact during the season will depend on its phase and strength. An active (enhanced) phase during April or May, may increase rainfall episodes, while the suppressed phase may interrupt rainfall progression and cause dry spells.
The development of Tropical Cyclones over the southwestern Indian Ocean, can significantly influence regional atmospheric circulation patterns. Such systems may alter moisture transport and wind flow, potentially disrupting or modulating the progression and distribution of the MAM 2026 seasonal rainfall over Uganda. Continuous monitoring of tropical cyclone activity is being undertaken, and timely advisories will be issued, should any system pose a potential impact on the rainfall performance.
The local and regional features such as large water bodies (including Lake Victoria) and highland areas are likely to enhance localized convection and influence spatial rainfall distribution during the season.
- Increased water availability for agriculture and livestock
- Improved yields for rain-fed crops that require wet conditions
- Favorable conditions for perennial crops such as coffee, tea and Banana, among others
- Enhanced natural productivity in water bodies, supporting aquatic ecosystems
- Increased risk of waterlogging and leaching, particularly in low-lying areas with poor drainage
- Higher incidence of crop pests and diseases, particularly in mono-cropping systems and vegetable farms including fungal and bacterial infections
- Crop damage due to flash floods, hailstorms, and strong winds
- Post-harvest losses resulting from damp conditions, leading to mold growth, rotting, and aflatoxin contamination
- Soil erosion and loss of fertility in steep, bare or overgrazed areas
- Plant crops at the onset of rains using high-yielding, and improved varieties
- Use a mix of long-maturing and short-duration crops to maximize yields
- Apply good agronomic practices, including timely weeding, proper spacing, thinning and fertilizer management
- Implement soil and water conservation measures, including mulching, drainage channels, and contour farming
- Monitor and control pests and diseases through integrated pest management (IPM)
- Establish nurseries in well-drained areas to minimize waterlogging and disease risks
- Properly harvest, dry, and store produce in improved storage facilities such as silos, cribs, or hermetic bags to reduce post-harvest losses
- Apply climate smart practices including solar drying
- Practice water harvesting and storage for future use during dry spells
- Invest in value addition and proper market timing to maximize economic returns
- Improved water quality due to increased inflows that help dilute and disperse pollutants
- Enhanced availability of natural fish food sources in lakes, rivers and other water bodies boosting fish production
- Higher production for flood-adaptive fish species due to expanded breeding and feeding habitats
- Improved living habitats (ambiance) to make fish more active in water bodies that increases the catch
- Increased movement of water weeds, hindering fishing activities
- Fish losses due to flooding of ponds and uncontrolled water overflow
- Increased siltation in fish ponds, potentially reducing dissolved oxygen levels and overall water quality
- Damage to fisheries Infrastructure, including pond banks, cages, nets and landing sites
- Post-harvest losses due to transport disruptions in some places especially along the rural murram roads
- Increased risks of water accidents and loss of fishing equipment during harsh weather conditions
- Protect and maintain clear waterways around fish farms
- Raise pond dykes and stock fish in ponds to take advantage of increased water availability
- Use elevated drying racks and roofed platforms for fish handling and processing
- Use lifesaving equipment for example life jackets for safety and avoid night travel on lakes
- Report surges of weeds to the nearest local authority
- Enhance use of sea-worthy boats
- Regularly follow weather updates and advisories before you set out onto lakes and rivers for any activities
- Replenishment of water sources for livestock
- Improved pasture growth and availability of grasses for grazing
- Increased incidence of livestock diseases and parasites, including ticks, foot and mouth disease, and trypanosomiasis
- Damage to pastures, especially in flood-prone areas due to water logging
- Overstocking in shelters during heavy rains, leading to disease outbreaks
- Animal poisoning from contaminated flood water
- Loss of livestock due to waterlogging, lightning and cold weather exposure
- Strengthen vaccination programs and ensure timely treatment and deworming of animals
- Install lightning arrestors
- Store animal feeds properly to prevent spoilage
- Improve drainage in animal shelters and construct waterproof roofs where necessary
- Relocate animals from flood-prone areas during periods of heavy rainfall
- Harvest and store pasture as hay or silage before the peak rainfall periods
- Restrict grazing near contaminated or stagnant water sources
- Adequate soil moisture to support flowering and nectar production, leading to higher honey yields
- Increased bee population due to abundance of flowering plants during the rainy season
- Reduced foraging time due to regular rains
- Increased incidences of hive pests such as wax moths and small hive beetles
- Higher risk of fungal and bacterial infections due to excessive moisture and weakened colony immunity
- Destruction of hives caused by strong winds and heavy rainfall
- Protect hives by placing them under tree canopies or shelters to reduce exposure to heavy rainfall and direct winds
- Secure hives firmly using stands and ropes to prevent wind damage or overturning
- Encourage planting of bee-attractive and nectar-rich flowers and conserve natural pollinator habitats
- Avoid the use of harmful pesticides near apiaries to protect bee colonies
- Regularly inspect hives to detect and manage pests and diseases early
The forecast of near normal to above normal during the MAM 2026 season is likely to have significant implications on socio-economic activities, including agriculture and food security, health, energy and water resources, among others.
Areas projected to receive near-normal rainfall are expected to experience rainfall amounts within their long-term climatological averages. This implies that rainfall is likely to be sufficient to support normal agricultural production and other socio-economic activities that are dependent on seasonal rainfall.
It is also worth noting that localized episodic flash flood events may occur in areas that are expected to receive near normal rainfall as a result of isolated heavy downpours. Similarly, in localized areas expected to receive above-normal rainfall, poor rainfall distribution may as well occur.
Continuous monitoring of weather conditions and the issuance of timely advisories will therefore be essential to minimize risks and maximize the benefits associated with the seasonal rainfall.
During March to May 2026 season, most parts of Uganda are expected to experience near-normal to above-normal rainfall. The onset of rains will vary by region, with most areas experiencing rainfall from early to mid-March. The peak rainfall is expected between April and May. This MAM seasonal rainfall is expected to end by early to mid-June in most parts of the country.
The predicted rainfall requires timely action to mitigate risks and take advantage of favorable conditions. This forecast should guide planning in all climate-sensitive sectors to enhance economic resilience and community well-being. The Ministry of Water and Environment, through the Department of Meteorological Services will continue monitoring the weather patterns and regularly issue updates to support planning and decision-making.